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Crypto Macro

Bitcoin Falls as Trump Rejects Iran Ceasefire, Oil Tops $100

Bitcoin extended last week’s pullback after President Trump rejected Iran’s ceasefire plan, pushing oil above $100 and bond yields higher. The move comes ahead of Wednesday’s PCE inflation report, with crypto trading softer as traders weigh the inflation and geopolitical backdrop.

Original source

AI take

The notable shift here is that bitcoin is trading as a macro-risk asset rather than a geopolitical hedge, moving with the broader risk backdrop instead of against it. That matters for anyone holding crypto as portfolio insurance, since the correlation assumption is being tested in real time. With the PCE print still ahead, the near-term question is whether crypto keeps taking its cue from oil and yields, or reasserts its own narrative once the inflation data lands.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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