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Macro US Stocks

Wells Fargo Lifts Fed Rate Forecast, Cuts S&P 500 Tech to Neutral

Wells Fargo now expects the Federal Reserve’s policy rate to reach 4.75%-5.00% by the end of 2027, up from its prior forecast of 4.00%-4.25%. The bank also downgraded S&P 500 information technology to neutral from overweight, upgraded industrials to overweight from neutral, and cut its end-2027 gold target to $5,200-$5,400 an ounce from $5,400-$5,600.

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AI take

Wells Fargo is revising its macro map rather than reacting to a single data point: a higher assumed policy path by end-2027 sits alongside a rotation out of technology and into industrials, and a lower gold target. The signal worth noting is that the bank is treating tighter-for-longer rates as compatible with a broader cyclical tilt, not a defensive one. Whether other sell-side houses follow on the sector call, and whether the trimmed gold target reflects weaker hedging demand or a stronger dollar view, are the open questions.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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