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Macro

Australia August CPI Rises 4.0% YoY, Below 4.1% Forecast

Australia’s August consumer price index rose 4.0% year on year, undershooting the 4.1% expected and up from 3.5% in the prior reading. The hotter annual pace still came in below consensus, a data point markets will weigh against the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate path.

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AI take

The undershoot matters less than the direction: the annual pace accelerated from the prior reading, so the inflation trend is not yet decisively cooling even if it beat expectations. That keeps the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate path the key variable for Australian dollar and rate-sensitive positioning. Whether the monthly CPI sequence resumes its earlier disinflation is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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