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Macro

German 2-Year Bund Yield Falls 14.2bps, Down 24.3bps Over Three Sessions

Germany’s 2-year Bund yield dropped 14.2 basis points to 3.065% on Thursday, extending a three-session decline to 24.3 basis points. The 10-year yield fell 7.8 basis points to 3.508%, retreating from a September 28 high of 3.654% touched in early European trading. The 30-year yield slipped 4.2 basis points to 3.894%, while the 2/10-year spread widened 6.413 basis points to +44.064 basis points.

Original source

AI take

The front end is doing the heavy lifting here: a 14bp drop in 2-year yields against a much smaller move at 30 years is a curve steepening, not a uniform risk-off bid. The widening 2/10 spread signals the market is repricing near-term policy expectations rather than long-run growth or inflation. What matters is whether this steepening reflects a genuine shift in rate expectations or just positioning around recent highs. Whether the short end keeps leading the move is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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