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Regulation Macro

Fed’s Kashkari: Treasury Market Functioning Normally Despite Rising Yields

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said the U.S. Treasury market is functioning normally even as yields rise, and that he sees no signs of systemic risk in the financial system. Market inflation expectations remain anchored at 2%, he said, adding that the Fed may need to raise rates more than markets expect. His September rate forecast was one more hike this year and another in 2027.

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AI take

Kashkari is separating two things markets often blur: elevated yields as a price signal versus yields as a symptom of broken market plumbing. His read that functioning is intact, and that inflation expectations remain anchored, undercuts the argument that rising yields alone force the Fed's hand. The more consequential line is his willingness to flag more tightening than markets price, which puts the burden of proof on the disinflation trend rather than on Treasury market stress. Whether that gap between his September forecast and market pricing narrows is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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