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Macro

10-Year Treasury Yield Rises 11 Basis Points on the Week; 2-Year Gains 3 Basis Points on Jobs Day

The US 10-year Treasury yield rose 2.99 basis points to 5.2706% in Friday’s New York close, after briefly dropping to a session low of 5.1528% within a minute of the 20:30 Beijing-time nonfarm payrolls release, finishing the week up 11.02 basis points. The 2-year yield gained 3.12 basis points to 4.8247%, hitting a session low of 4.6913% after the data before climbing to a session high of 4.8477%, and ended the week down 2.69 basis points.

Original source

AI take

The intraday whipsaw around the payrolls print matters more than the weekly totals: both tenors spiked lower within a minute of the release before reversing, a pattern that suggests the initial read on the data was quickly repriced. The divergence is the real signal — the long end closing the week sharply higher while the front end finished lower points to rising term premium or inflation compensation rather than a simple rate-expectations story. Whether that curve steepening persists into the next data cycle is the open question for duration-sensitive crypto and RWA positioning.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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