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World Bank Lifts East Asia-Pacific 2026 Growth Forecast to 4.5%

The World Bank raised its 2026 growth forecast for East Asia and the Pacific to 4.5% in an update published on May 6, 0.3 percentage points above its April projection. The bank attributed much of the upgrade to strong high-tech investment and exports in countries tied to the artificial intelligence value chain. It also said high energy prices weighed less than expected, helped by market forces, rising renewable use, inventory draws and consumer subsidies.

Original source

AI take

The upgrade is less about broad regional momentum than about a narrow AI-linked export and capex channel, which means the headline number understates how unevenly the improvement is distributed across the region. Economies plugged into the AI supply chain are effectively decoupling from the energy-cost drag that still shapes the rest of the outlook. Whether that concentration persists, or whether the softer energy picture extends the recovery to less tech-exposed economies, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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