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Bitcoin Holds Above $80,400 Capital Cost Basis, Most Investors Now in Profit

Crypto analyst Darkfost said Bitcoin has closed above its capital cost basis of about $80,400 for several consecutive weeks, a shift from late August when BTC was still struggling around that level. The metric weights realized price by dollar volume, giving more weight to coins bought at higher prices. Most capital in the market is now slightly profitable, which Darkfost called a positive signal during the current sideways consolidation.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is structural rather than directional: a dollar-weighted cost basis is a proxy for where the marginal holder's pain threshold sits, so trading above it changes the incentive to capitulate. That matters most for recent buyers, whose positions now sit closer to break-even. The open question is whether this profitability persists through the consolidation, since a sustained move back below the metric would put the majority of capital back underwater.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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