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Macro

China Treasury Futures Close Mixed; 30-Year Flat, Shorter Contracts Edge Lower

China’s treasury futures closed mixed on the day, with the 30-year main contract flat versus the previous close. The 10-year main contract slipped 0.05%, the 5-year main contract fell 0.04% and the 2-year main contract eased 0.01%.

Original source

AI take

The curve's shape is the story here: the long end holding flat while every shorter tenor drifts lower points to a market that isn't repricing duration risk so much as trimming front-end exposure. That divergence matters for anyone tracking China's rates complex as a read on domestic liquidity and policy expectations, since the long bond typically leads on growth and inflation views while shorter contracts track near-term funding conditions. Whether the 30-year's steadiness holds while shorter contracts soften is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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