TREE NEWS reports: China’s live hog prices edged higher in early October after hitting a near three-month low on Sept. 30, with the external three-way crossbreed quoted at 10.3 yuan/kg and the internal three-way crossbreed at 10.63 yuan/kg as of Oct. 8, up about 0.24% and 0.2% from before the National Day holiday. Yin Weihua, a researcher at the State Information Center’s Economic Forecast Department, attributed the rebound mainly to shifts in the pace of supply-side marketings, with holiday demand only a secondary support.
China’s Live Hog Prices Rebound 0.2% After Three-Month Low
The rebound is marginal, and the researcher's framing is the real signal: supply-side marketing pace, not demand, is doing the work. That points to a hog cycle still working through oversupply rather than a demand-led recovery, which matters for anyone tracking Chinese protein prices as a demand proxy for broader consumption. Whether holiday demand leaves any lasting support, or the market simply resumes its slide once the holiday effect fades, is the open question.
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