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Macro

BofA’s Hartnett: $166.4B Poured Into Money Funds in One Week, Most Since April 2020

Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett said money market funds drew $166.4 billion in the week to October 7, the largest weekly inflow since April 2020. He argued the cash will not leave for equities in size until the Fed begins sustained, clear monetary easing, saying: “No rate cut, no cash reduction.” Markets now expect the next Fed hike in December rather than at the late-October meeting.

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AI take

The striking part is not the record cash pile but the condition attached to it: Hartnett's framing makes money funds a rate-cycle trade, not a fear gauge, so the cash sits until policy turns decisively. That matters most for risk assets that have been priced on the assumption of eventual deployment. The near-term signal is the shift in rate expectations toward December rather than late October, which pushes the pivot question further out. Whether the inflows keep building at this pace, and whether easing expectations firm, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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