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Macro

CFTC: Asset managers turn bearish on Mexican peso for first time in 18 months

Asset managers turned net bearish on the Mexican peso in the week to October 6, the first time in 18 months. The shift marks a reversal in sentiment toward the currency after a year and a half of bullish positioning.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is less the size of the position than the direction of travel: a positioning flip after 18 months of one-way sentiment suggests the macro story that sustained peso longs has lost its grip on this cohort of managers. It matters most for carry-oriented and EM currency books that had crowded into the trade, since a synchronized exit can amplify moves independent of fundamentals. The open question is whether this is a one-week sentiment blip or the start of a sustained repositioning — watch whether the net short extends or reverses in the next positioning update.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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