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Macro US Stocks

CITIC Securities: S&P 500 Q3 Earnings Growth Broadens Beyond Big Tech

CITIC Securities said in a research note that LSEG consensus expects S&P 500 revenue and earnings to grow 1.2% and 45.0% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2026, both down from the prior quarter. Energy, information technology, materials and health care all post earnings growth above 50%, suggesting the index’s profit expansion is no longer concentrated in leading technology companies.

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AI take

The notable claim here is breadth, not the headline growth rate: four sectors clearing 50% earnings growth would mark a genuine rotation in where index profits come from, which matters for anyone tracking concentration risk in US equity exposure. The caveat is that these are consensus estimates, not reported results, and both revenue and earnings growth are projected to decelerate from the prior quarter — so the broadening is happening against a slowing backdrop. Whether the sector-level dispersion survives actual reporting, and whether the tech-led share of index earnings meaningfully compresses, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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