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China Brokers Say A-Shares Face Structural Rebound as Q3 Earnings Anchor Pricing

A-shares staged a V-shaped reversal on October 9, with the Shanghai Composite recovering the 3,800 level and broad-based ETFs seeing sharply higher turnover, after a pullback following the National Day holiday. Multiple Chinese brokerages said in strategy notes this week that pessimism has been largely priced in and policy support remains in place, keeping near-term volatility from denting the market’s underlying resilience. With Q3 earnings season opening, brokers see structural repair opportunities in October, with earnings delivery becoming the core pricing anchor.

Original source

AI take

The brokers' call is best read as a shift in what the market is being asked to price: from sentiment and policy headlines toward actual earnings delivery. That matters because it implies the rebound's durability now rests on company results rather than further support measures, which puts Q3 reporting season at the center of October trading. Whether the earnings data validates the brokers' framing, or the recovery fades once results land, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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