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Lithium Carbonate Futures Hit Year Low, Nearly Halve Since May

Lithium carbonate futures for January 2027 delivery fell 8.37% to 108,800 yuan per tonne as of the October 12 morning close, breaking below the 110,000 yuan mark to a fresh low for the year. The contract has nearly halved from its peak above 200,000 yuan per tonne in mid-May, a decline achieved in under six months.

Original source

AI take

The speed of the retreat matters more than the level: a near-halving in under six months signals that positioning, not just spot fundamentals, is driving the contract. Because this is a forward-dated contract, the move reflects expectations about future supply and demand rather than current physical tightness, which makes the January 2027 tenor an unusually pure sentiment gauge. What is worth watching is whether the 110,000 yuan break holds as a floor or becomes a new reference point for the curve.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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