James Lavish Warns Governments Trapped in Debt Death Spiral

The claim reframes sovereign debt stress as a structural trap rather than a cyclical problem: once borrowing is needed to service borrowing, the constraint shifts from fiscal discipline to market appetite for duration. That matters most for long-bond buyers, whose reluctance is itself the mechanism Lavish describes, and for central banks, which become the residual demand of last resort. The open question is whether that reluctance proves durable enough to force balance-sheet expansion, or whether term premiums stabilize without it.