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OPEC raises 2027 oil demand growth forecast to 2.55 mln bpd, cuts 2026 view

OPEC raised its 2027 global oil demand growth forecast to 2.55 million barrels per day from a previous 2.36 million bpd, while cutting its 2026 projection to 180,000 bpd from 380,000 bpd. OPEC+ crude output averaged 39.07 million bpd in September 2026, up about 900,000 bpd from August. Saudi Arabia told OPEC its September output was 8.372 million bpd, up from 6.238 million bpd in August.

Original source

AI take

The split revision matters more than either number: OPEC is trimming near-term demand while lifting the longer-dated view, which suggests the group sees the current soft patch as temporary rather than structural. The larger signal sits in the supply data, where September OPEC+ output and Saudi volumes both rose sharply, meaning the cartel is adding barrels into a year it now describes as barely growing. Whether that combination tightens or loosens the implied balance is the open question worth tracking in the coming monthly reports.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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