TREE NEWS reports: Prediction market Polymarket shows only a 27% probability that Bitcoin reaches $100,000 before 2027, with just 2% odds of hitting that level before November 2026, on roughly $75.1 million of trading volume in its 2026 Bitcoin price market. Polymarket puts the chance of Bitcoin touching $80,000 in October 2026 at 57%, $77,500 at 33% and $75,000 at 21%. Kalshi’s October Bitcoin forecast stands at $87,000.
Polymarket: 27% Odds Bitcoin Tops $100K Before 2027
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AI take
The striking feature is the shape of the curve, not any single level: Polymarket prices near-term touches of $75K–$80K as far more likely than $100K, and the gap between Polymarket's October figure and Kalshi's higher one suggests venues disagree on how much upside is priced into this horizon. That divergence, on meaningful volume, is where the market is genuinely uncertain. Whether the two platforms converge as the October contract nears resolution is the open question worth watching.
Generated by AI for reference only.
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