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22V Survey: 44% of Clients Expect Risk-On Reaction to September US CPI

A 22V Research survey of its clients found 44% expect Wednesday’s US September CPI print to trigger a risk-on market reaction, while about a third expect a mixed or muted response. Nearly half of respondents said other investors will also read the data as a positive signal for risk sentiment. The findings were published by 22V Research founder Dennis DeBusschere.

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AI take

The survey's real signal is the gap between how 22V clients plan to read the CPI print and how they expect everyone else to read it — that asymmetry in positioning, not the inflation number itself, is what makes the event tradable. It also flags a crowded lean: when nearly half of a client base expects a positive risk read, the surprise risk sits with the minority expecting mixed or muted conditions. Whether that consensus holds through the actual release is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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