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UK 10-year gilt yield falls 2.7bp to 5.420% after US CPI

The UK 10-year gilt yield fell 2.7 basis points to 5.420% in late European trading on Wednesday, October 14, after chopping in a low range before the US CPI release at 20:30 Beijing time and rebounding quickly once the data landed. The two-year yield dropped 2.6bp to 4.902%, bouncing from below 4.880% to a session high of 4.946% at 20:43. Thirty-year yields fell 1.7bp and 50-year yields 1.4bp; the 2s/10s spread widened 0.211bp to +52.012bp.

Original source

AI take

The move is modest and concentrated at the front end, with the two-year's sharp intraday round-trip around the US CPI print suggesting the data, not domestic UK factors, drove the session. That the 30- and 50-year barely budged while the 2s/10s spread widened slightly points to a curve response rather than a broad repricing of UK duration risk. Whether this CPI-driven reaction fades once the initial positioning clears is the open question, particularly with long-end gilts showing little conviction either way.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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