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Macro

German 10-year Bund yield falls 5.3 bps to 3.413%

German 10-year Bund yields fell 5.3 basis points to 3.413% in late European trading on Thursday, October 15, after gapping lower and drifting steadily to a session low at 21:00 Beijing time. The 30-year yield also dropped 5.3 bps to 3.774%, while the 2-year fell 1.7 bps to 3.112%. The 2/10-year spread narrowed 3.712 bps to +29.817 bps.

Original source

AI take

The move is a curve story rather than a level story: the 2/10-year spread narrowing to just under 30 bps shows the long end doing the work, with the 30-year matching the 10-year's decline while the 2-year barely budged. That pattern points to duration demand or a term-premium repricing rather than a shift in near-term rate expectations. Whether the spread keeps compressing toward the flat-to-inverted zone seen elsewhere is the open question worth watching.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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