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Crypto Macro

US Wholesale Inflation Hits 6.3% in September; Bitcoin Slips

US wholesale inflation accelerated to 6.3% in September, with gasoline producer prices jumping 20.3%. Bitcoin slipped as the print landed. Polymarket traders now assign a 72.5% probability to the Fed holding rates at its next meeting.

Original source

AI take

The significance here is the composition, not the headline: a gasoline-driven jump in producer prices sits awkwardly beside a prediction market leaning toward a Fed pause, suggesting traders read the spike as energy noise rather than broad pricing pressure. Bitcoin's slip looks like a reflexive reaction to rate expectations rather than a verdict on inflation itself. The open question is whether wholesale costs beyond energy start feeding through, and whether the hold probability holds up if they do.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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