Brazil poll: Bolsonaro and Lula neck-and-neck ahead of runoff

A 0.6-point projected gap is within the kind of margin that makes polling a poor guide to a runoff outcome, so the headline number matters less than the fact that the race is effectively tied with days to go. Brazil's election carries weight well beyond its borders, and a result this close leaves little room for either camp to claim a clear mandate, which matters for how the next government is received. Whether the polling spread holds, narrows or reverses before voting is the open question.