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US pending home sales fall to record low as mortgage rates climb

US pending home sales fell 7.3% in September to an index reading of 66, the lowest level since records began in 2001, the National Association of Realtors said Tuesday. The gauge, which tracks signed contracts on existing homes, was down nearly 13% from a year earlier on an unadjusted basis, with every region posting declines. Mortgage rates have climbed toward three-year highs since the outbreak of the war with Iran, keeping buyers on the sidelines.

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AI take

The record-low reading matters less as a housing datapoint than as evidence that the mortgage-rate shock tied to the Iran war is now biting at the contract stage, not just in sentiment surveys, and that the weakness is broad rather than regional. The effect lands on existing-home sellers, realtors and the transaction-dependent parts of the housing economy, while sidelined buyers wait on financing costs. Whether rates keep climbing toward those three-year highs, and whether signed contracts convert into closings at all, is the open question worth tracking.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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