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UK Inflation Hits 11-Month High of 3.5%, Boosting Case for BOE Rate Hike

UK consumer prices rose 3.5% in the 12 months to September, up from 3.1% in August and above economists’ 3.4% forecast, the Office for National Statistics said Wednesday. Motor fuel costs drove the increase, with diesel hitting a record in late September as international oil topped $100 a barrel. Services inflation, a gauge of domestic price pressure, reached 3.7%. Markets widely expect the Bank of England to raise borrowing costs at its next meeting on Nov. 5, its first hike since 2023.

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AI take

The composition matters more than the headline: fuel is doing the work, but services inflation at 3.7% signals domestic pressure that a single energy-driven print cannot explain away. That distinction is what gives the Bank of England room to act at its November meeting rather than treat this as noise. For crypto and RWA markets, the relevance is indirect — a first hike since 2023 reopens the rate-differential question that has shaped risk appetite. Whether services inflation cools as fuel effects fade is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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