Prediction Markets Put Democrats at 92% to Win House One Week Before Midterms

The gap between the House and Senate odds is the real signal here: markets are treating a Democratic House as close to settled while leaving the Senate genuinely contested, which is where the policy risk actually concentrates. For crypto, the binary framing matters less than the sweep scenario — divided government likely preserves the status quo, whereas a clean sweep is what the item flags as pressure on crypto and AI-linked equities. Whether the Senate number converges toward the House figure over the final week is the open question worth watching.