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Macro

China Secondary Home Sales Rise 20% in October, New Home Sales Fall 13%

Secondary home transactions in 20 key Chinese cities rose 20% year-on-year in the first 28 days of October, widening from the previous month’s gain. New home sales by floor area in 30 key cities fell 13% over the same period. Beijing, Shanghai and some second-tier cities kept secondary-market activity elevated, while new home demand remained in adjustment.

Original source

AI take

The widening gap between secondary and new home activity is the real signal here: demand is rotating toward existing stock rather than disappearing, with the resale market doing the work that new-build sales are not. That split matters most for developers holding unsold inventory and for local governments whose revenue leans on new-home transactions. Whether the secondary-market gain keeps broadening beyond Beijing, Shanghai and the second-tier leaders — and whether new-home demand stabilizes rather than continues its adjustment — is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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