TREE NEWS reports: Italy’s October consumer price index rose 0.7% month-on-month, far exceeding expectations of a 0.1% increase and matching the prior month’s 0.7% gain. The figure points to firmer inflation in the eurozone’s third-largest economy at the start of the fourth quarter.
Italy October CPI +0.7% MoM vs +0.1% Expected
A second consecutive 0.7% monthly gain, against expectations of a near-flat print, suggests Italian inflation is proving stickier than forecasters assumed rather than simply reflecting base effects. For eurozone rate watchers, the relevance is that the bloc's third-largest economy is now contributing upward pressure on the aggregate rather than diluting it. Whether this is a one-month surprise or the start of a firmer trend is the open question, and the next inflation readings from Italy and the wider eurozone will be the test.
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