TREE NEWS update: S&P lowered its rating outlook on Meta Platforms from stable to negative, citing significant uncertainty over capital expenditures and free operating cash flow. The agency expects Meta to fund its projected free cash flow shortfall solely through debt in 2028, and said adjusted leverage could exceed 1.0x as early as 2027, the downgrade threshold for its AA- issuer credit rating.
S&P cuts Meta rating outlook to negative on AI spending, cash flow concerns
The signal here is that AI capex is now being assessed through a credit lens, not just an earnings one. S&P's negative outlook ties Meta's AI buildout directly to leverage and cash-flow strain, which matters for any large-cap technology issuer funding compute at scale. The open question is whether debt-funded AI spending becomes a broader ratings theme across the sector, and whether Meta's adjusted leverage trajectory forces a harder conversation about capex discipline before the 2027 threshold is reached.
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