Crypto Prediction Markets Give Democrats 72% Chance of Sweeping Congress

The signal worth noting is not the Democratic advantage itself but the market's confidence in a divided outcome: a 95% House probability against a 73% Senate probability implies traders see the Senate as the real battleground, with Texas and Ohio priced as the tightest holds. That gap matters for anyone tracking how prediction markets behave as political information, since a sweep is priced as the modal outcome while remaining far from certain. Whether the seven-day drift continues, and whether Senate odds converge toward the House number, is the open question.