TREE NEWS reports: HSBC strategist Max Kettner, who cut his US equity rating to neutral from overweight two weeks ago, said an Anthropic IPO would be a larger risk event than the US election. Kettner said the fundamentals of the AI trade remain intact despite this week’s sharp selloff, but he stays cautious after the vote, noting it is unclear how much risk the election can clear given investors had done little hedging beforehand.
HSBC strategist flags Anthropic IPO as bigger risk event than election
Kettner's framing is notable less for the Anthropic comparison itself than for what it reveals about where strategists see event risk concentrated: not in the political calendar, but in the AI complex's own supply of new paper. The caution despite intact fundamentals suggests the concern is positioning and liquidity around a large AI listing, not the trade's underlying thesis. With hedging described as thin ahead of the vote, the open question is whether an election outcome can actually clear risk, or merely reset the clock on the AI event.
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