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Macro

Argentina bonds slide toward distressed levels as election jitters mount

Argentina’s global bonds are heading for their worst week in more than a year as global risk appetite fades and investor anxiety over next year’s presidential election intensifies. The benchmark 2035 bond fell more than 3 cents on the dollar, pushing its yield to 13.77% on Friday from 12.67% at the end of last week. The spread over U.S. Treasuries widened nearly 140 basis points to 928 basis points in the first four trading days of the week, more than double its July low.

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AI take

The move matters less as a single-week repricing than as a signal that Argentina's market access is being repriced around political risk rather than fundamentals. The spread more than doubling from its July low suggests holders are demanding compensation for policy continuity, not just global risk-off. The election is now the dominant variable in the curve. Whether the widening stalls or extends into the primary calendar is the open question, and how the sovereign's funding costs behave into year-end will show if this is sentiment or something more structural.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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