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CSC Maintains Long-Term Bullish View on North American and Domestic AI Compute Chains

China Securities (CSC) kept a long-term bullish stance on North American and domestic AI compute supply chains in its 2027 communications sector strategy, noting OpenAI and Anthropic together reached about $124 billion in annualized recurring revenue by end-September 2026. The four major North American cloud service providers spent roughly $208.7 billion in Q3 2026, up 84.2% year on year. As of Oct. 30, the Shenwan communications index traded at a PE-TTM in the 60.45% five-year and 34.93% ten-year percentile, signaling valuation premiums have been digested.

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AI take

The strategist's core argument rests on demand-side evidence rather than price action: model developers' recurring revenue and hyperscaler capex are doing the work that sentiment usually does. That matters for anyone holding compute-chain exposure, because it reframes the debate from "is the trade crowded" to "is the spending real" — and the cited capex growth suggests it still is. The valuation point is the more delicate one: a mid-range five-year percentile paired with a much lower ten-year reading implies the premium has been worked off, but it also means the sector is no longer cheap on its own history. Whether that capex trajectory holds through the next reporting cycle is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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