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Macro US Stocks

BofA: Chip Stock Selloff May Bottom in Early 2027

The SOX semiconductor index has fallen 38% from its June 22, 2026 high to 9,011 points as of November 5, exceeding the 32% average peak-to-trough decline of the past four downturns, BofA analysts led by Vivek Arya said. They expect the indiscriminate selling to end in early 2027, noting SOX declines have historically led semiconductor sales drops by six to nine months. The index trades at 13.7x forward earnings versus 17.7x for the S&P 500.

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AI take

BofA's call hinges on a historical lead-lag relationship rather than a visible catalyst, so the early-2027 timing is a projection about when indiscriminate selling exhausts itself, not evidence that it has. The read-through extends past chipmakers: the SOX now trades below the S&P 500's forward multiple, a valuation gap that reframes semis from momentum leaders to laggards and matters for anyone benchmarked to the index. Whether the six-to-nine-month lead holds this cycle, and whether the discount to the broad market persists, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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