Onchain data challenges insider-trading theory in NYT election betting story

The evidentiary bar for onchain forensics is becoming the real test in prediction-market integrity debates: a newspaper's suspicious-pattern claim now meets a public-ledger counter-review, and the ledger is winning this round. This matters most for the credibility of election betting venues and for the analysts whose transaction tracing increasingly shapes these stories. The open question is whether onchain review becomes the default arbiter in such disputes, or whether reporting standards and forensic methods diverge further as each side cites its own experts.