Chicago Fed’s Goolsbee: Jobs, Growth Stable; Inflation Still the Big Problem

Goolsbee's framing shifts the emphasis from labor-market risk to inflation credibility, and the detail that matters is the Fed beginning to study services inflation — a stickier category than goods and one less responsive to rate policy. That matters for rate-sensitive corners of crypto and tokenized real-world assets, where the cost of capital and duration appetite hinge on how long policy stays restrictive. The open question is whether services inflation proves persistent enough to delay easing, and whether consumer spending, which Goolsbee credits as the growth engine, holds up if it does.