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Macro

$3M weekly options bet targets Treasury selloff around US CPI release

A large flow in US Treasury weekly options paid about $3 million in premium to buy 19,649 contracts of the 10-year note 107.00 put expiring Tuesday, a position that would profit from a bond selloff into the October CPI release. The strike had open interest of 1,080 contracts, indicating new risk, and about 27,000 contracts traded at that strike on the day, with 10-year Treasury futures at 107-00 Monday afternoon.

Original source

AI take

The scale of this options flow matters less than its timing: a single expiry tied directly to the CPI print turns a macro data release into a binary event for rates positioning, and the fact that open interest at the strike was small before the trade suggests this is fresh conviction rather than existing exposure being rolled. It affects anyone with duration-sensitive exposure across Treasuries and related risk assets, since a bond selloff into CPI can transmit quickly through funding and credit channels. What's worth watching is whether this premium-heavy structure attracts follow-on positioning or stands as an isolated hedge.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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