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Macro

China Treasury futures open lower; 30-year contract down 0.16%

China’s treasury futures opened lower on the latest trading session, with the 30-year main contract down 0.16%. The 10-year and 5-year main contracts each slipped 0.03%, while the 2-year main contract fell 0.01%.

Original source

AI take

The move is small in absolute terms but notable for its shape: the long end is leading the decline, with the 30-year contract falling far more than the shorter maturities, which barely budged. That curve-steepening pattern points to pressure on duration rather than a broad repricing of rate expectations, and it lands on the segment most sensitive to shifts in the growth and fiscal outlook. Whether the long end keeps underperforming the belly is the open question worth tracking.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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