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Macro US Stocks

US October CPI, CoreWeave Earnings to Test AI Trade

US October CPI is due at 21:30 Beijing time, with headline and core expected at 0.3% and 0.2% month-on-month; no annual figure will be published because October 2025 price data were not collected during the 43-day government shutdown. CoreWeave reports third-quarter results around 06:00 Beijing time, with guidance of $860 million-$940 million in interest expense against $200 million-$260 million in adjusted operating income.

Original source

AI take

The missing annual CPI print is the detail that matters: with October price data uncollected, markets are left comparing month-on-month figures against a truncated baseline, which weakens CPI's usual role as a clean read on the macro backdrop for risk assets. CoreWeave's disclosure is the sharper test of the AI trade, since interest expense guidance exceeding adjusted operating income points to a capital structure that depends on continued financing access rather than current earnings. Whether that gap narrows in coming quarters, and how markets price it, is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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