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Macro US Stocks

Brokerages map out 2027 A-share strategy, favoring balanced allocation

CITIC Securities, China Securities, Huatai Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan have held their 2027 annual strategy meetings as of Nov 11, with several expecting more structural opportunities in A-shares and better investment chances in the second half than the first. Brokerages broadly see a volatile market that still breeds diversified structural plays, with active themes and a wider rally expected next year. They emphasize “balance” and “rhythm” in allocation, using dividend assets as a base while growth and cyclical names provide offense.

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AI take

The uniform push toward "balance" and "rhythm" from major brokerages signals that consensus expects range-bound conditions rather than a directional bet, which itself can dampen conviction-driven flows. The framing of dividend assets as a base with growth and cyclicals as offense effectively institutionalizes a barbell approach, likely reinforcing demand for high-yield names even as thematic rotation continues. The notable divergence is the second-half-over-first-half view, implying strategists see near-term uncertainty unresolved. Whether that timing call holds, and whether the wider-rally expectation materializes beyond active themes, is the open question worth tracking.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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