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Macro

BOJ’s Azada: Further Rate Hikes Could Have Bigger Economic Impact

Bank of Japan board member Toichiro Azada said the central bank’s policy rate is now within the estimated range of the neutral rate, meaning further interest-rate increases could have a larger impact on the economy. The remark signals heightened caution over the pace of additional tightening.

Original source

AI take

The signal here is less about the level of rates than about the changing sensitivity of the economy to each additional move. A BOJ board member framing the policy rate as already inside the neutral range implies the easy, low-cost phase of normalization is over, and that the marginal hike now carries more weight than earlier ones. That matters most for yen-sensitive and rate-sensitive exposures, including crypto and other risk assets that have leaned on cheap Japanese funding. Whether the board's caution translates into a slower actual pace, rather than just softer rhetoric, is the open question worth tracking.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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