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Macro

US crude inventories rose 4.66M barrels last week, EIA says

US crude oil inventories increased by 4.66 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration said, defying Bloomberg users’ forecast of an 86.7-million-barrel draw and analysts’ estimate of an 85.26-million-barrel decline. The prior week saw a draw of 865,000 barrels. The industry-funded API had reported a build of 8.968 million barrels, with distillate stocks falling 8 million barrels.

Original source

AI take

The scale of the miss against consensus is the story here: a build of this size against forecasts of a draw points to a sharper demand or supply mismatch than analysts had modeled, and the API's own larger build suggests the direction was visible to some trackers first. The distillate draw alongside a crude build hints at refinery behavior rather than pure demand weakness, which complicates the read-through for product cracks. Whether the crude build reflects a one-off timing effect or a sustained surplus is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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