TREE NEWS reports: TD Securities senior commodity strategist Ryan McKay said gold is increasingly vulnerable to a repricing of Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations, as short-term incremental buying from bullish camps such as macro hedge funds, ETFs and central banks has been sparse. Gold still has strong support, however, because there is little sign that broad non-trend-follower positioning has capitulated, and depressed prices could reignite buying from investors still targeting long-term currency debasement and de-dollarization themes.
TD Securities’ McKay: Gold Vulnerable to Fed Repricing as Bullish Buyers Thin
The fragility McKay describes is structural rather than sentiment-driven: gold's recent resilience has leaned on a narrow set of incremental buyers, and if rate expectations shift, that thin marginal demand offers little cushion. The offsetting factor is that core holders tied to debasement and de-dollarization narratives have not capitulated, which caps how far a repricing could cascade. The open question is whether a Fed repricing forces those longer-horizon holders to reassess, or whether depressed prices simply draw them back in — the latter would confirm gold's support is thematic, not rate-sensitive.
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