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Macro

Goldman Sachs: Dollar ‘strong but erratic’ in 2026, seen weakening in 2027

Goldman Sachs said the U.S. dollar is set to end 2026 “strong but erratic” and is expected to soften in 2027, the bank said in its outlook. The call frames the greenback’s path as firm through the current year before turning weaker the following year. No specific forecast levels were given in the material.

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AI take

The value here is less the direction than the shape of the call: a firm but erratic dollar through 2026, softening only in 2027. That two-phase framing matters for anyone holding dollar-sensitive exposure, from emerging-market borrowers to commodity and crypto markets that often trade as dollar mirrors. The absence of forecast levels leaves the thesis qualitative, so its weight rests on Goldman's credibility rather than on reproducible numbers. Whether the erratic characterization proves more telling than the eventual softening is the open question.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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