TREE NEWS update: Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said Iran has prepared responses for three possible scenarios with the United States: diplomatic pressure, economic blockade and military aggression. He said Washington has shown bad faith at least three times over the past year and a half, adding that the US cannot be trusted at the negotiating table.
Iran Says It Is Prepared for Three Scenarios With US, Including Military Aggression
The explicit framing of a military scenario alongside economic and diplomatic ones marks a shift in tone from Tehran, and the stated loss of faith in Washington's reliability is the substantive part: it suggests any future talks would start from a much lower trust baseline. For energy and sanctions-exposed markets, the signal is that escalation risk is being priced into official thinking rather than treated as a tail case. Whether the three-scenario framing reflects genuine contingency planning or bargaining posture is the open question.
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