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Macro

Roubini: Tech spending main driver of higher yields

Nouriel Roubini, known as ‘Dr. Doom’, said technology spending is the biggest factor pushing up yields. He does not believe artificial intelligence is a bubble. Roubini expects employment data to remain normal, with a slowdown driven by supply shortages. Japan is undergoing structural economic transformation, and the yen may strengthen in the medium term.

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AI take

Roubini's framing shifts the yield debate away from deficit or inflation narratives toward a structural capex story, which matters for how markets interpret persistent rate pressure. His dismissal of an AI bubble, paired with a supply-side view of labor slowdown, suggests he sees higher-for-longer rates as a productivity-driven equilibrium, not a policy error. The yen call adds a cross-asset dimension, implying FX adjustments could accompany this real-economy shift. What is worth watching is whether incoming data on tech investment and employment validates his supply-constrained thesis, or if demand-side cracks emerge to challenge it.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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