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Macro US Stocks

US August Jobs Beat; Fed Rate Hike Odds Jump

US stocks ended lower on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak, as August nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations, boosting bets on a September Fed rate hike. CME FedWatch showed the probability of a hike rose to 58% from 49.4% after the data. Semiconductors and optical communications rallied, while oil and copper extended gains.

Original source

AI take

The stronger-than-expected jobs report is shifting the market's near-term focus back to Fed tightening, with rate-hike odds now a coin flip. This matters because it directly pressures rate-sensitive equities and could stall the recent rally in risk assets, even as sectors like semiconductors and commodities show resilience. The key tension to watch is whether this labor strength proves durable enough to justify a hike, or if inflation data and global growth concerns undermine that case before the September meeting.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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