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Macro

UBS WM sees Fed rate hikes in Sep, Dec 2026

UBS Global Wealth Management now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points each in September and December 2026, reversing its previous forecast of unchanged policy. The revised outlook marks a shift in the firm’s monetary policy expectations for the U.S. central bank.

Original source

AI take

The reversal from a steady-rate stance to projected hikes in late 2026 signals a notable reassessment of inflation persistence or growth resilience, which could ripple through rate-sensitive asset valuations. For crypto and RWA markets, this matters because it implies a longer period of tighter liquidity than previously priced, potentially dampening risk appetite. The key is whether other major banks follow suit, as that would solidify the narrative and force broader repricing across yield curves.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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