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Macro

US Treasury yields rise as buyback plan triggers short-term rally

On Wednesday, US 10-year Treasury yield rose 4.23 bps to 4.8305% at NY close, briefly spiking to 4.8528% after the Treasury announced Thursday’s bond buyback amount. The 30-year yield gained 4.13 bps to 5.2868%, while the 2-year added 2.76 bps to 4.4211%. Yields remain near multi-year highs.

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AI take

The yield rise despite a buyback signal underscores how supply and term-premium concerns are overriding tactical liquidity operations. The brief spike after the buyback announcement suggests the market is parsing the operation as insufficient to dent the structural supply overhang, leaving long-end vulnerability intact. This matters for fixed-income and RWA pricing, as duration risk remains the dominant force. Whether buybacks can stabilize the curve or merely offer fleeting relief is the key question, especially with yields pinned at multi-year highs.

Generated by AI for reference only.

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