TREE NEWS reports: The International Energy Agency said Thursday that global coal demand is expected to grow 1.2% in 2026 to a record 894 million tonnes, driven by the Middle East conflict. In its latest coal report, the IEA said oil and LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have been disrupted since the US-Iran conflict began, raising prices and prompting countries with gas-fired plants and idle coal capacity to burn more coal.
IEA Expects Global Coal Demand to Rise 1.2% in 2026 on Middle East Conflict
The IEA's forecast is a reminder that energy-transition trajectories remain hostage to geopolitics: a supply shock in oil and LNG can revive coal demand even as decarbonization targets tighten. The beneficiaries are coal-exporting regions and utilities with idle coal capacity, while gas importers exposed to Middle East routes absorb the cost. Whether the coal uptick outlasts the shipping disruption is the open question — if Hormuz flows normalize, the demand bump could prove temporary rather than structural.
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